Will Israel Attack Iran? Soon? Defying America?

by Yossi Melman and Dan Raviv

Rumors within Israel — often amplified by websites and traditional news media in other countries — keep suggesting that the Israeli air force will soon be sent on a risky mission to damage or destroy Iran’s nuclear sites.

But for various reasons, the chances of an attack before America’s election day — November 6 — continue to diminish. As we dared to predict in the on-line Tablet Magazine nearly two months ago, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak are well aware of the American political calendar; and every Israeli in any position of responsibility has to acknowledge the vital importance of a healthy alliance with the United States.   Here’s our article from July 11: http://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/105880/why-israel-won%E2%80%99t-bomb-iran

In 1994, our book Friends In Deed: Inside the U.S.-Israel Alliance sought to explain why a superpower and a tiny country such as Israel had become so close.  A new e-book version is available for Kindle at: http://amzn.to/OcBNiW , for Nook at  http://bit.ly/T77KwK and also in other formats.

Of course, anyone familiar with military history will know that “surprise” can be a potent part of military victory.  Yet for Israel to take the Obama Administration by surprise — at this ultra-sensitive time — seems almost unimaginable.

We hope that doesn’t give the Iranian regime much comfort, as it continues with its secretive nuclear program.

September 15, 2012

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